shred7777
0x43cc0c44ac7872fae39cf72b0334ae6eee549211
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $184.6k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $18.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.486Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$938.51at 0.568Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$738.82at 0.738Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
- +$588.17at 0.867Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
- +$510.08at 0.594Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:32 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.25325 | $50.65 |
| 09-21 07:30 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.745720125 | $59.66 |
| 09-21 07:29 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.7484380548 | $59.87 |
| 09-21 07:28 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.7603333333 | $22.81 |
| 09-20 15:02 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-20 15:01 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.44 | $52.80 |
| 09-20 14:57 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.89 | $404.06 |
| 09-20 14:54 | Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-20 14:53 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.6390350692 | $211.92 |
| 09-20 14:51 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.96 | $134.90 |
| 09-20 14:49 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.751 | $150.19 |
| 09-15 21:13 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $270.00 |
| 09-15 21:12 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $285.00 |
| 09-15 21:09 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9388610636 | $208.67 |
| 09-15 21:08 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $285.00 |