PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x43AB6682572796f6f684970eBB6Cf8C14c92A0eF-1761760556265

0x43ab6682572796f6f684970ebb6cf8c14c92a0ef

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$259.3k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8140.955$2.4k+$357.47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.984$1.6k+$149.60
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.745$1.6k+$368.55
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.5700.745$1.3k+$299.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6000.115$798.10−$3.4k
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No0.6510.890$780.62+$209.57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9000.971$485.51+$35.50
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.017$356.48+$8.85
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.3170.825$302.35+$186.31
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat? · Yes0.2800.210$21.00−$7.00
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee? · No0.0880.000$0.00−$52.49
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.5830.000$0.00−$350.00
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado? · No0.1060.000$0.00−$106.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$9.26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$247.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 23:19Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?SELL0.003$0.90
08-18 23:19Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?SELL0.001$0.40
08-14 04:43Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$974.49
08-14 04:42Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$36.99
07-17 16:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.52$1.0k
07-11 15:17Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.016$247.89
07-10 11:34Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.0928669769$43.30
07-10 11:34Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.091788733$45.39
07-09 21:46Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.9775$500.00
07-07 00:42Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?SELL0.03654054$36.54
07-05 01:05Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.53$10.10
07-04 01:34Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.59$59.99
07-03 16:01Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$1.4k
07-01 16:22Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?SELL0.0010325015$1.59
06-26 11:05Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?SELL0.996$263.39