0x43AB6682572796f6f684970eBB6Cf8C14c92A0eF-1761760556265
0x43ab6682572796f6f684970ebb6cf8c14c92a0ef
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $259.3k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.098Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$819.77at 0.767US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$716.19at 0.165US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$706.24at 0.773Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$698.11at 0.014US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 23:19 | Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.90 |
| 08-18 23:19 | Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 08-14 04:43 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $974.49 |
| 08-14 04:42 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $36.99 |
| 07-17 16:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 07-11 15:17 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $247.89 |
| 07-10 11:34 | Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.0928669769 | $43.30 |
| 07-10 11:34 | Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.091788733 | $45.39 |
| 07-09 21:46 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.9775 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 00:42 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | SELL | 0.03654054 | $36.54 |
| 07-05 01:05 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.10 |
| 07-04 01:34 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.99 |
| 07-03 16:01 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.4k |
| 07-01 16:22 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | SELL | 0.0010325015 | $1.59 |
| 06-26 11:05 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $263.39 |