0x4394283ce5cB7025C85e5483B0CE515810103055-1763170508973
0x4394283ce5cb7025c85e5483b0ce515810103055
- Realised P&L
- $-38.64
- Volume
- $65.3k
- Markets traded
- 578
- Open portfolio
- $214.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded578
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.84at 0.611Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
- +$51.44at 0.072Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$48.95at 0.380Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
- +$46.81at 0.522Will Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$45.53at 0.582US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |