PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

v2LCcPrd1x8Q

0x43834c02eb1dccd1cd5ff6f0157fc6bbd434170c

Realised P&L
$-717.00
Volume
$37.6k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:44No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.7603735043$7.61
09-17 15:09Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$9.00
09-17 10:01Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.31$2.79
09-17 09:53Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.12$1.53
09-17 09:50No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.7819999863$10.27
09-17 05:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.31$1.55
09-16 18:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.59$44.25
09-16 18:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.35$22.05
09-16 18:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$3.15
09-16 17:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$1.80
09-16 17:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.85$38.24
09-16 16:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.008$1.31
09-16 15:01Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.085$1.19
09-16 13:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.11$7.92
09-15 20:52Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.05$19.23