v2LCcPrd1x8Q
0x43834c02eb1dccd1cd5ff6f0157fc6bbd434170c
- Realised P&L
- $-717.00
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.22at 0.307Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
- +$2.04at 0.877Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$1.05at 0.733Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$0.63at 0.477Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.856Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:44 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7603735043 | $7.61 |
| 09-17 15:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.79 |
| 09-17 09:53 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.53 |
| 09-17 09:50 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7819999863 | $10.27 |
| 09-17 05:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-16 18:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $44.25 |
| 09-16 18:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $22.05 |
| 09-16 18:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.15 |
| 09-16 17:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 17:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.85 | $38.24 |
| 09-16 16:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.31 |
| 09-16 15:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.085 | $1.19 |
| 09-16 13:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $7.92 |
| 09-15 20:52 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $19.23 |