whatc4says
0x436d376367357914e9677edfdb2027d0970468e5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $141.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.33at 0.209Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$3.56at 0.580Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?
- +$1.16at 0.030Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
- +$-0.43at 0.583Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
- +$-0.56at 0.594Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 15:34 | Will Putin visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 04-05 12:57 | Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? | BUY | 0.1993329919 | $50.00 |
| 04-05 12:56 | Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027? | BUY | 0.1127819512 | $25.00 |
| 04-05 12:38 | Will Putin visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 04-05 12:23 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.987 | $94.33 |
| 02-24 20:46 | Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.17 |
| 01-04 12:24 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.2949999881 | $13.00 |
| 01-03 20:29 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.2092529592 | $20.00 |
| 01-03 20:23 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.294999996 | $44.00 |
| 12-31 16:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 12-31 16:39 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 12-31 16:34 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.45 |
| 12-10 22:05 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.1045364093 | $5.74 |
| 12-10 22:03 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | SELL | 0.0956666667 | $5.74 |
| 12-10 21:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12? | BUY | 0.3399999905 | $12.20 |