PolyBot

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Traders

Orval1

0x435f25874a56f4553dae9ac9594f5dd03f145bd5

Realised P&L
$-54.42
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$43.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 17:15Will an F1 race be held in Qatar in 2026?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
10-11 17:14Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?BUY0.5$5.00
10-11 17:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.6899996964$1.00
10-11 16:58Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?BUY0.449999964$5.00
10-11 16:58Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?BUY0.2$6.00
10-07 21:07Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-07 21:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1319999996$5.00
10-07 21:04Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0809999988$5.00
10-07 21:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSELL0.98$8.45
10-07 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.5799999768$5.00
09-27 19:21Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-27 19:212026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6099999756$5.00
09-18 19:41Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0449999984$1.00
09-18 19:40NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$5.00
09-18 19:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.1699999983$5.00