M888
0x43440ab002eaac9fede6f9d21bea96d84228f90d
- Realised P&L
- $255.8k
- Volume
- $11.45M
- Markets traded
- 1,638
- Open portfolio
- $127.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,638
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.3kat 0.066Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.6kat 0.129Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.5kat 0.006Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
- +$7.5kat 0.029Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$5.4kat 0.047Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:02 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.1324257767 | $161.85 |
| 11-01 03:52 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | BUY | 0.0316573266 | $10.78 |
| 10-31 21:11 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9797581353 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 21:10 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9809613166 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 08:17 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 02:57 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.2866858641 | $233.51 |
| 10-29 20:37 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.0631531919 | $345.13 |
| 10-28 17:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.959 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 02:15 | Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31? | BUY | 0.8972497292 | $107.68 |
| 10-26 22:23 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | BUY | 0.0405243902 | $57.40 |
| 10-25 16:26 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.0634190747 | $53.31 |
| 10-25 04:37 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.1 | $62.02 |
| 10-18 14:39 | Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.0838860318 | $51.48 |
| 10-17 02:47 | Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.72 | $43.11 |
| 10-17 02:13 | Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1115058765 | $169.44 |