PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

M888

0x43440ab002eaac9fede6f9d21bea96d84228f90d

Realised P&L
$236.6k
Volume
$11.14M
Markets traded
1,552
Open portfolio
$214.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,552
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$158.5k+$58.5k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$41.5k$58.5k
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.8980.984$3.4k+$292.04
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.6820.795$1.9k+$269.34
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? · No0.6340.775$1.2k+$219.91
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5800.525$1.2k$122.44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.1980.075$924.50$1.5k
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · No0.8670.925$891.03+$55.80
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.3140.320$610.57+$10.55
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3700.325$525.73$72.78
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.1240.115$493.59$38.49
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes0.2950.225$485.68$152.16
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? · Yes0.7500.835$445.82+$45.38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.2100.145$390.54$176.00
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? · No0.8100.885$350.65+$29.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:04Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?BUY0.75$400.44
07-31 10:04Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.32$272.97
07-27 15:52Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?BUY0.9387769019$538.28
07-21 20:14Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.22$244.42
07-20 22:11Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.9987891819$2.5k
07-20 22:11Will Yvette Cooper be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.999$1.7k
07-20 18:24Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.1468577474$178.38
07-20 17:44Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.999$3.2k
07-20 17:43Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?SELL0.001$0.77
07-20 17:43Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.999$1.2k
07-20 17:38Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.001$0.13
07-20 17:21Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.998$944.27
07-20 17:20Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.999$7.6k
07-20 17:19Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.999$3.5k
07-20 17:18Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.8840771756$597.74