Sepiko
0x43205d4295f9debbea285dfe06132ff87046e468
- Realised P&L
- $344.14
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $84.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$337.18at 0.042US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$59.52at 0.770Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$15.52at 0.745Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$14.17at 0.830US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$9.42at 0.840Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.1057026584 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 08:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.3799999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 20:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 06:27 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 07-03 20:17 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0359999933 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 07:24 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:23 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:23 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:22 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:22 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:22 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:21 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:20 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 07:20 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.9419999472 | $1.00 |