PolyBot

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Traders

Sepiko

0x43205d4295f9debbea285dfe06132ff87046e468

Realised P&L
$344.14
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$84.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.3800.345$27.24−$2.76
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.635$25.20+$0.20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3200.165$15.47−$14.53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1700.145$8.53−$1.47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · No0.1060.085$4.02−$0.98
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2100.075$3.57−$6.43
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 08:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.1057026584$5.00
10-15 08:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.3799999972$30.00
10-13 20:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
09-30 06:27Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.629999995$25.00
07-03 20:17Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.0359999933$5.00
06-12 07:24Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
06-12 07:23Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
06-12 07:23Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
06-12 07:22Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
06-12 07:22Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.6$1.00
06-12 07:22Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.92$1.00
06-12 07:22Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
06-12 07:21Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4$1.00
06-12 07:20Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
06-12 07:20Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9419999472$1.00