PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tbl99

0x4304496803ffd20faf60afd3b4cc3cda9a58b579

Realised P&L
$-7.68
Volume
$274.77
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$6.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.875$1.97−$0.03
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5800.595$1.03+$0.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.855$0.99−$0.01
Will Cape Verde vs. Rwanda end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Will Australia vs. Brazil end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.175$0.97−$0.03
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.2700.235$0.87−$0.13
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · Yes0.0160.001$0.03−$0.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-09? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Cyprus win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Wales win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 07:28Will Cape Verde vs. Rwanda end in a draw?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-29 07:17Will Australia vs. Brazil end in a draw?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-28 06:06Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-28 06:06Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-28 06:05Will Cyprus win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-28 06:05Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-28 06:04Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-25 05:21Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5799999768$1.50
09-25 05:20Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-25 05:19Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-24 16:15Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.6699996918$1.00
09-24 16:14Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.64$1.00
09-24 16:14Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.05$1.00
09-24 16:13Will Portugal vs. Wales end in a draw?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-20 05:33Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4899998383$1.00