PolyBot

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Traders

0x42c761c00071a05f2b996ac11eb5689b3effc3de

0x42c761c00071a05f2b996ac11eb5689b3effc3de

Realised P&L
$-33.72
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$7.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.024$1.50−$3.50
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No0.8000.895$1.12+$0.12
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.360$0.97−$0.03
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.5200.455$0.88−$0.12
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.140$0.88−$0.13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0700.045$0.64−$0.36
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · Yes0.1100.044$0.40−$0.60
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · Yes0.0490.018$0.36−$0.64
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.1000.035$0.34−$0.66
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0700.011$0.29−$1.48
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.1600.045$0.28−$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 19:29Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-12 19:27Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-12 19:25Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-12 19:21US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.8$1.00
10-12 19:19Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
10-12 19:18Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.109999989$1.00
05-17 12:44US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?BUY0.005999994$1.00
05-17 12:44Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?BUY0.002970297$1.00
05-17 12:42Nick Fuentes federally charged?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
05-17 12:42Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
05-17 12:42Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?BUY0.023999977$1.00
05-17 12:41Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
05-17 12:41Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-17 12:41US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
05-15 10:40Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?SELL0.0656369025$10.41