vicvic4
0x42b03f813b73fc1101e35c0c374b2e2c0bdddfd5
- Realised P&L
- $-134.38
- Volume
- $58.6k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $854.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.00at 0.870Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$64.00at 0.360Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$43.06at 0.598Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$32.00at 0.340US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$30.18at 0.245Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 12:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.8951156649 | $232.17 |
| 07-29 15:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 07-12 21:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.25 |
| 07-03 08:20 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $68.18 |
| 06-24 15:43 | Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 05-31 06:24 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $29.55 |
| 05-31 06:17 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.04 |
| 04-08 00:30 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.071 | $89.11 |
| 04-02 17:58 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 04-02 17:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | BUY | 0.61 | $115.15 |
| 04-02 15:47 | Sabres vs. Senators | BUY | 0.53 | $13.25 |
| 04-02 15:47 | Utah vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.57 | $14.25 |
| 04-02 15:47 | Capitals vs. Devils | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |