PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

vicvic4

0x42b03f813b73fc1101e35c0c374b2e2c0bdddfd5

Realised P&L
$-134.38
Volume
$58.6k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$854.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: Other · No0.9941.000$419.79+$2.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.9851.000$200.00+$3.00
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? · No0.9851.000$100.00+$1.50
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9740.995$69.65+$1.47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6301.000$39.99+$14.80
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0520.051$10.20−$0.20
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2000.026$3.98−$26.02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2700.070$3.50−$10.00
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2330.021$3.14−$31.76
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.1600.035$2.38−$8.66
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.042$1.68−$26.32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$9.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.6120.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.8850.000$0.00−$26.55
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$3.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
08-13 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.7899999826$5.00
07-30 12:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.8951156649$232.17
07-29 15:28Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.24$9.60
07-12 21:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?SELL0.77$5.25
07-03 08:20Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.974$68.18
06-24 15:43Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group ABUY0.24$9.60
05-31 06:24Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?BUY0.985$29.55
05-31 06:17Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.16$11.04
04-08 00:30Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.071$89.11
04-02 17:58Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.26$5.20
04-02 17:48Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?BUY0.61$115.15
04-02 15:47Sabres vs. SenatorsBUY0.53$13.25
04-02 15:47Utah vs. KrakenBUY0.57$14.25
04-02 15:47Capitals vs. DevilsBUY0.49$19.60