0x427645f9a7dc060AcA702A9afAB8EAcBB44984E9-1767100354121
0x427645f9a7dc060aca702a9afab8eacbb44984e9
- Realised P&L
- $516.16
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.13at 0.180Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$170.43at 0.623Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
- +$93.71at 0.348Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
- +$81.86at 0.550Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
- +$49.22at 0.504Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 14:38 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 14:36 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | BUY | 0.1489992214 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 14:28 | Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 14:19 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 08:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 08:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6486108287 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 08:04 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 07:55 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-25 22:49 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0656474445 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 10:34 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.231854122 | $30.00 |
| 08-14 10:33 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0656662471 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 10:33 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0418589922 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 10:33 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0291497287 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 10:31 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | BUY | 0.0279369946 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 10:30 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |