hotx
0x423790f1d244d6645d4dd93327512790d3dc11d3
- Realised P&L
- $-475.40
- Volume
- $37.0k
- Markets traded
- 715
- Open portfolio
- $11.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded715
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.95at 0.481Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$27.50at 0.154Will PHI Eagles D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?
- +$17.64at 0.039Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
- +$15.64at 0.390Olympic Basketball: Australia vs. Serbia
- +$15.62at 0.062Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 23:58 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 02:16 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2374999828 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 02:15 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.162499868 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 02:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 02:36 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2474999652 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 02:35 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 23:22 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 23:22 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 20:08 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 00:23 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 03:13 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 03:13 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 02:44 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.03 |
| 07-06 02:29 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 03:42 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |