Mecky2
0x422a861c67d4cb3f9ea34483c51a9f14837662bd
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills · Bills | 0.633 | 1.000 | $640.34 | +$234.58 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs | 0.510 | 0.405 | $297.48 | −$77.12 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Chiefs | 0.480 | 0.400 | $132.09 | −$26.29 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills | 0.481 | 1.000 | $69.58 | +$36.06 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? · No | 0.734 | 0.860 | $68.91 | +$10.13 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cardinals | 0.507 | 0.991 | $64.42 | +$31.43 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys · Cardinals | 0.250 | 0.264 | $62.85 | +$3.33 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.844 | 0.825 | $58.43 | −$1.33 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) · Magic | 0.516 | 0.340 | $38.00 | −$19.65 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) · Magic | 0.480 | 0.300 | $35.59 | −$21.36 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.710 | 0.655 | $33.14 | −$2.78 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.643 | 0.915 | $28.07 | +$8.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.672 | 0.285 | $18.74 | −$25.43 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.581 | 0.440 | $16.32 | −$5.26 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No | 0.672 | 0.904 | $13.16 | +$3.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$650.11at 0.539Grizzlies vs. Jazz
- +$617.57at 0.547Browns vs. Titans
- +$481.96at 0.480Spread: Pacers (-6.5)
- +$326.70at 0.482Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
- +$323.17at 0.503Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:25 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $236.11 |
| 11-01 21:23 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $49.73 |
| 11-01 21:23 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $54.80 |
| 11-01 21:21 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $97.65 |
| 11-01 21:19 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $28.78 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $9.96 |
| 11-01 21:04 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $5.14 |
| 11-01 20:59 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $12.18 |
| 11-01 20:54 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $5.94 |
| 11-01 20:54 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $32.72 |
| 11-01 20:27 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $8.92 |
| 11-01 20:27 | Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $32.05 |
| 11-01 20:26 | Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $24.89 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $6.27 |
| 11-01 20:24 | Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $33.77 |