moneymakingmachine
0x420e8deb590ad77ff5b2f6776cea2b1fc6dee3c9
- Realised P&L
- $-12.0k
- Volume
- $3.37M
- Markets traded
- 1,664
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,664
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.257Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$2.7kat 0.4962026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$2.6kat 0.716Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$2.5kat 0.868Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- +$1.9kat 0.719US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:50 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.54 | $6.06 |
| 11-01 02:44 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0031204793 | $0.57 |
| 11-01 02:43 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0010329962 | $0.63 |
| 11-01 02:43 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.14 |
| 11-01 02:42 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.10 |
| 10-30 22:07 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | BUY | 0.9970883651 | $3.8k |
| 10-30 21:46 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.30 |
| 10-30 21:14 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $187.20 |
| 10-30 21:06 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.012 | $12.52 |
| 10-30 19:24 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $64.45 |
| 10-30 19:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $82.72 |
| 10-30 17:15 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $534.65 |
| 10-30 10:22 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $656.14 |
| 10-30 06:45 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.378 | $302.40 |
| 10-30 04:18 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |