moneymakingmachine
0x420e8deb590ad77ff5b2f6776cea2b1fc6dee3c9
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $3.20M
- Markets traded
- 1,523
- Open portfolio
- $48.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,523
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.700Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$1.9kat 0.719US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.8kat 0.741Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.394Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
- +$1.2kat 0.172Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:33 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.69 |
| 09-16 22:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6999999997 | $522.28 |
| 09-16 22:10 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.229 | $6.37 |
| 09-15 18:47 | Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.6889999969 | $110.51 |
| 09-15 18:45 | Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.7957206813 | $263.68 |
| 09-15 07:36 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $56.70 |
| 09-15 04:03 | Will the announcers say "One Handed" during the Broncos vs Chiefs game? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 03:56 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 18:23 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33499966 | $492.64 |
| 09-13 16:59 | USA vs. France | BUY | 0.7705034059 | $288.37 |
| 09-13 16:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $498.00 |
| 09-13 16:58 | USA vs. France | BUY | 0.7649999997 | $287.98 |
| 09-13 16:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $292.43 |
| 09-13 16:53 | USA vs. France | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $390.00 |
| 09-12 17:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.79 | $27.79 |