pedrots
0x418ff815cfadd29aab712a09b9223e8fe9867b8f
- Realised P&L
- $-292.52
- Volume
- $57.7k
- Markets traded
- 405
- Open portfolio
- $173.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded405
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$413.45at 0.192Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$59.40at 0.100Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?
- +$49.10at 0.050Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$46.69at 0.589Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?
- +$43.84at 0.355Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:18 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 02:09 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 02:08 | Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 02:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 02:05 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 02:01 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:58 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:57 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6219999775 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:56 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:54 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:50 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:47 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 01:40 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.229999987 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 02:09 | Pacers vs. Bucks | SELL | 0.26 | $2.17 |
| 10-27 02:03 | Bulls vs. Celtics | SELL | 0.999 | $5.80 |