PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pedrots

0x418ff815cfadd29aab712a09b9223e8fe9867b8f

Realised P&L
$-292.52
Volume
$57.7k
Markets traded
405
Open portfolio
$173.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded405
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5850.275$40.98−$46.22
Raptors vs. Lakers · Lakers0.6800.975$14.33+$4.33
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? · Yes0.4700.475$10.11+$0.11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.725$9.93−$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? · Yes0.7300.725$9.93−$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.6600.655$9.92−$0.08
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.595$9.92−$0.08
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.5100.505$9.90−$0.10
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2300.225$9.78−$0.22
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.705$9.66−$0.34
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6220.580$9.32−$0.68
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.605$9.31−$0.69
Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.7700.775$7.75+$0.05
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2300.215$7.48−$0.52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3600.235$3.26−$1.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 02:18Raptors vs. LakersBUY0.6799999946$10.00
11-02 02:09Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
11-02 02:08Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
11-02 02:07Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
11-02 02:05Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
11-02 02:01Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
11-02 01:58Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
11-02 01:57Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6219999775$10.00
11-02 01:56Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.729999954$10.00
11-02 01:54Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
11-02 01:50Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.599999988$10.00
11-02 01:47Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.229999994$5.00
11-02 01:40Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.229999987$3.00
10-27 02:09Pacers vs. BucksSELL0.26$2.17
10-27 02:03Bulls vs. CelticsSELL0.999$5.80