PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ResolvedMarkets

0x41097a5a77840c970ffe62ce45b5b543784dad6b

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$152.7k
Markets traded
796
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded796
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.9250.955$1.8k+$55.05
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7380.705$614.02$28.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.3720.205$284.01$230.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.592$231.11$26.55
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5690.878$205.63+$72.37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.670$201.00$9.00
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · No0.7600.978$195.50+$43.50
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.8600.888$177.60+$5.60
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.865$173.00+$7.00
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.7400.847$169.40+$21.40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.8100.695$166.80$27.60
Will Karmine Corp win VALORANT Champions 2026? · No0.8660.875$156.51+$1.68
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.5300.720$152.29+$40.19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.680$136.00+$44.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6900.665$133.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 10:28Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$7.40
09-24 10:28Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$22.20
09-24 10:28Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$59.20
09-24 10:26Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$14.80
09-24 10:25Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$37.00
09-24 10:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.576$132.06
09-24 10:24Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$22.20
09-24 10:23Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$148.00
09-24 10:23Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.74$222.00
09-24 10:23Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.73$80.99
09-24 10:23New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.94$470.00
09-24 10:22Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.73$29.20
09-24 10:21Will Karmine Corp win VALORANT Champions 2026?BUY0.88$44.00
09-24 10:20Will Karmine Corp win VALORANT Champions 2026?BUY0.86$110.83
09-24 10:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.69$138.00