PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ResolvedMarkets

0x41097a5a77840c970ffe62ce45b5b543784dad6b

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$103.8k
Markets traded
588
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded588
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8980.935$467.50+$18.50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8100.885$265.50+$22.50
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.1100.495$247.50+$192.50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6500.635$224.14$5.29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9080.964$212.33+$12.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7820.585$192.98$65.02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8700.905$181.00+$7.00
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.4190.356$178.25$31.25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.8100.675$162.00$32.40
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6900.675$135.00$3.00
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7400.845$114.19+$14.19
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7440.825$100.54+$9.84
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4850.469$93.90$3.10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7700.905$90.50+$13.50
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8800.875$87.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:19Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $161 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.89$8.63
08-03 22:18Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.89$53.40
08-03 22:18Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.88$17.60
08-03 22:18Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.57$57.00
08-03 21:38Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.72$28.87
08-03 21:32Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.24$0.96
08-03 21:26Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 21:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.58$58.00
08-03 21:21Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
08-03 19:39Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.28$7.84
08-03 19:38Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.58$33.64
08-03 12:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.058$1.74
08-03 12:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.08$4.00
08-03 12:24Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $332 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.08$8.00
08-03 12:08Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.09$9.49