PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tetestre

0x4108d725f1e0a9c9af1d4789001c6029238eb113

Realised P&L
$-11.94
Volume
$501.23
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$18.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.915$8.23+$4.63
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1700.115$6.77−$3.23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.165$2.66−$2.34
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? · Yes0.8300.835$1.01+$0.01
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$20.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7030.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.8310.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 13:04Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?BUY0.829999502$1.00
10-10 13:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.12$6.00
10-02 13:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499999944$4.00
07-05 13:42Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5BUY0.5799999267$2.85
07-05 13:41Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
06-26 23:27Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
06-03 00:39Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
06-03 00:38US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.7029702608$5.00
06-03 00:37Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?BUY0.8311071284$5.00
05-22 17:33Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.84$5.00
04-20 03:18U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?SELL0.467$1.56
04-17 21:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.34$6.07
04-17 01:42Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$3.60
04-17 01:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
04-17 01:33Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?BUY0.7799998596$5.00