tetestre
0x4108d725f1e0a9c9af1d4789001c6029238eb113
- Realised P&L
- $-11.94
- Volume
- $501.23
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $18.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.915 | $8.23 | +$4.63 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.115 | $6.77 | −$3.23 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.165 | $2.66 | −$2.34 |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.835 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.703 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No | 0.831 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.38at 0.390Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$7.12at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$3.52at 0.460Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$3.51at 0.774Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
- +$2.46at 0.670Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:04 | Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 13:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 13:42 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5799999267 | $2.85 |
| 07-05 13:41 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 23:27 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 00:39 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 00:38 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.7029702608 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 00:37 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.8311071284 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 17:33 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 04-20 03:18 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | SELL | 0.467 | $1.56 |
| 04-17 21:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.07 |
| 04-17 01:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.60 |
| 04-17 01:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 01:33 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |