0x4108144ac55c6d9f517dadecb30c1bfe406f0ced
0x4108144ac55c6d9f517dadecb30c1bfe406f0ced
- Realised P&L
- $1.85
- Volume
- $236.48
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $29.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.81at 0.734Ethereum above 2,690 on September 30, 10PM ET?
- +$0.05at 0.983Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.01at 1.005Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$-0.01at 1.007Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by September 30?
- +$-0.01at 1.008Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:50 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.05 |
| 10-01 08:39 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.14 |
| 10-01 06:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 06:21 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.49 |
| 10-01 05:56 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.46 |
| 10-01 05:25 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.49 |
| 10-01 05:15 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 05:15 | Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 05:09 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 04:23 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 04:03 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 03:58 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.48 |
| 10-01 01:57 | Ethereum above 2,690 on September 30, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.24 |
| 10-01 01:57 | Ethereum above 2,690 on September 30, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.27 |
| 10-01 01:57 | Ethereum above 2,690 on September 30, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.32 |