PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fishsalad

0x40c9be0b9632ac409b34bb5b41a0dde5d952664d

Realised P&L
$-65.98
Volume
$152.0k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$848.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? · No0.8870.959$479.25+$35.75
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.020$119.99+$72.00
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.007$67.50+$13.51
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0200.028$55.00+$15.00
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.026$53.00+$23.00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.024$48.00+$20.00
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.003$17.50−$38.50
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · No0.8200.905$5.03+$0.47
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.001$3.00−$39.00
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$125.00
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? · Yes0.3390.000$0.00−$297.73
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$122.26
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$5.10
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? · Yes0.1960.000$0.00−$195.69
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 13:11Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?BUY0.82$4.56
10-25 23:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?BUY0.887$443.50
10-25 16:43Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?BUY0.7903802939$274.34
10-25 16:43Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?BUY0.3997043216$99.43
10-25 16:43Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?BUY0.38$54.34
10-25 16:41Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?BUY0.1355400315$30.95
10-25 16:40Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?BUY0.3598538326$161.82
10-25 16:40Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?BUY0.3796563574$110.48
10-18 18:38Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9$9.77
10-11 18:31Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.22$33.00
10-11 18:27Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?SELL0.8431$421.55
10-11 15:54Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.21$72.69
10-11 15:54Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.705559402$472.85
10-06 12:31Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?SELL0.053$0.05
10-06 00:55Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?BUY0.44$115.39