Fishsalad
0x40c9be0b9632ac409b34bb5b41a0dde5d952664d
- Realised P&L
- $-65.98
- Volume
- $152.0k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $848.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$437.19at 0.374Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
- +$281.33at 0.737Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
- +$198.00at 0.600Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
- +$185.00at 0.260Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$174.50at 0.650Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 13:11 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.56 |
| 10-25 23:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? | BUY | 0.887 | $443.50 |
| 10-25 16:43 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.7903802939 | $274.34 |
| 10-25 16:43 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.3997043216 | $99.43 |
| 10-25 16:43 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.38 | $54.34 |
| 10-25 16:41 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.1355400315 | $30.95 |
| 10-25 16:40 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.3598538326 | $161.82 |
| 10-25 16:40 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.3796563574 | $110.48 |
| 10-18 18:38 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.77 |
| 10-11 18:31 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.22 | $33.00 |
| 10-11 18:27 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September? | SELL | 0.8431 | $421.55 |
| 10-11 15:54 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.21 | $72.69 |
| 10-11 15:54 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.705559402 | $472.85 |
| 10-06 12:31 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.05 |
| 10-06 00:55 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? | BUY | 0.44 | $115.39 |