PolyBot

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Traders

BlindAndDeaf

0x40a67cffcc28cfcc77f2ee09cc8549a1036a133c

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$567.6k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$50.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9500.945$8.0k$42.10
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8870.865$7.8k$200.45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3900.475$5.7k+$1.0k
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4720.497$3.6k+$181.54
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · No0.8470.935$3.3k+$313.06
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.9390.955$3.0k+$50.74
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8860.925$2.1k+$88.04
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9410.953$2.0k+$24.24
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.9500.952$2.0k+$2.72
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6940.860$1.9k+$358.12
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.6000.805$1.7k+$430.50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7840.765$1.5k$37.06
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · No0.6870.992$1.4k+$443.39
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · No0.9290.947$1.4k+$24.93
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · No0.9400.945$1.2k+$6.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 11:47Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.9499999999$8.0k
08-08 04:45Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.95$1000.00
08-08 04:44Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.9400294831$500.00
08-05 11:32US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.3964238658$791.00
08-01 13:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.75$3.0k
07-31 14:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.987$6.7k
07-28 14:39Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.13$351.00
07-28 14:38Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.13$52.00
07-26 10:53US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.4962902305$1000.00
07-26 06:11Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.003$186.31
07-26 06:11Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.003$45.62
07-26 06:10Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4722832364$3.4k
07-23 16:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.1883019679$500.00
07-23 16:16Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?BUY0.8594388818$900.00
07-23 16:03Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2245465716$250.00