BlindAndDeaf
0x40a67cffcc28cfcc77f2ee09cc8549a1036a133c
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $567.6k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $50.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.867Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.9kat 0.580 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$2.4kat 0.450US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.2kat 0.665Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.760US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 11:47 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.9499999999 | $8.0k |
| 08-08 04:45 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1000.00 |
| 08-08 04:44 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.9400294831 | $500.00 |
| 08-05 11:32 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.3964238658 | $791.00 |
| 08-01 13:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.0k |
| 07-31 14:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $6.7k |
| 07-28 14:39 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $351.00 |
| 07-28 14:38 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $52.00 |
| 07-26 10:53 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.4962902305 | $1000.00 |
| 07-26 06:11 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.003 | $186.31 |
| 07-26 06:11 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.003 | $45.62 |
| 07-26 06:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4722832364 | $3.4k |
| 07-23 16:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.1883019679 | $500.00 |
| 07-23 16:16 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.8594388818 | $900.00 |
| 07-23 16:03 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2245465716 | $250.00 |