PolyBot

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Traders

0x403f61717a77aa61320177cd991c3aa88576b886

0x403f61717a77aa61320177cd991c3aa88576b886

Realised P&L
$6.8k
Volume
$229.9k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$211.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.8250.925$86.67+$9.37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.570$32.17−$16.37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8080.846$20.41+$0.92
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.715$15.16+$1.80
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.003$15.01−$51.04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$10.11+$0.37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2040.183$7.96−$0.90
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1440.097$6.25−$3.06
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0450.035$5.17−$1.48
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.2900.140$3.84−$4.11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1960.155$3.66−$0.98
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0200.011$2.73−$2.02
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.115$2.06−$2.78
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2730.032$0.77−$5.87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$88.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 12:34Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.054$1.37
10-14 12:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?BUY0.4080719584$91.01
10-14 11:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?BUY0.279999999$44.22
10-14 11:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?BUY0.2764811478$44.11
10-13 17:35Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.625$95.71
10-11 17:09Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9099999925$9.74
10-06 11:39Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.479$7.17
10-06 11:39Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4799999893$7.19
09-25 12:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?BUY0.8099999996$173.25
09-25 04:06Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.2899999905$7.95
09-25 04:02Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999764$13.36
09-25 04:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8599999951$24.42
09-23 11:14Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0060358954$2.21
09-23 08:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.23
09-22 14:29Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?BUY0.05$8.15