0x403f61717a77aa61320177cd991c3aa88576b886
0x403f61717a77aa61320177cd991c3aa88576b886
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $229.9k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $211.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.054Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?
- +$4.2kat 0.813Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$970.22at 0.022Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?
- +$407.55at 0.058Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$282.47at 0.366Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.37 |
| 10-14 12:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.4080719584 | $91.01 |
| 10-14 11:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.279999999 | $44.22 |
| 10-14 11:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.2764811478 | $44.11 |
| 10-13 17:35 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.625 | $95.71 |
| 10-11 17:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9099999925 | $9.74 |
| 10-06 11:39 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.479 | $7.17 |
| 10-06 11:39 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4799999893 | $7.19 |
| 09-25 12:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $173.25 |
| 09-25 04:06 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2899999905 | $7.95 |
| 09-25 04:02 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $13.36 |
| 09-25 04:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8599999951 | $24.42 |
| 09-23 11:14 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0060358954 | $2.21 |
| 09-23 08:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.23 |
| 09-22 14:29 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $8.15 |