vkbox
0x3f84959c6f417179ea0f98c86867f4487311a4aa
- Realised P&L
- $-15.44
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $45.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $14.41 | +$0.41 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Up | 0.648 | 0.536 | $12.31 | −$2.55 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.963 | $8.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.949 | $4.95 | −$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.370 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.043 | $0.93 | −$0.37 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.015 | $0.07 | −$2.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.99at 0.065Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$6.93at 0.460Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$0.79at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$0.37at 0.972Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?
- +$0.35at 0.972Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:54 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 17:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 17:00 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 17:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.312 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 16:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-05 16:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $14.00 |
| 10-05 11:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 09:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $12.97 |
| 10-05 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $11.86 |
| 04-12 17:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.76 |
| 04-08 15:45 | Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.947 | $3.79 |
| 04-08 15:45 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.20 |
| 04-08 15:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |