0x3F6f986196EbebbB529cC18a331BF211c299e536-1774818119409
0x3f6f986196ebebbb529cc18a331bf211c299e536
- Realised P&L
- $-461.57
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $311.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.34at 0.299Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$25.76at 0.660Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
- +$23.78at 0.316Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
- +$7.54at 0.570US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$5.86at 0.723Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 16:03 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 16:02 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 16:02 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $10.97 |
| 07-04 15:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.1673698833 | $7.00 |
| 07-04 15:52 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299999977 | $60.00 |
| 07-04 15:46 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 15:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 12:20 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.00 |
| 05-22 08:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 05-22 08:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 08:09 | Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31? | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $30.00 |
| 05-22 08:07 | Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 08:07 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 08:07 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 08:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0148809524 | $5.00 |