PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3f6E22582CbA98C550198b2673e1e0d38eF1759c-1730323096341

0x3f6e22582cba98c550198b2673e1e0d38ef1759c

Realised P&L
$-167.78
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$52.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · Yes0.1301.000$25.58+$22.26
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2601.000$7.85+$5.81
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1700.495$3.64+$2.39
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? · Yes0.9381.000$2.17+$0.13
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.2800.445$1.99+$0.74
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes0.1950.159$1.67$0.37
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.2370.095$1.33$1.99
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6250.320$1.04$1.00
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$1.02$1.02
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · Yes0.5300.500$0.98$0.06
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.4400.345$0.98$0.27
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1300.055$0.86$1.18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$0.78$1.26
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.038$0.69$0.56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.043$0.67$1.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-14 04:57Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?BUY0.2903789185$1.66
02-14 04:57AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.1299138475$1.66
02-14 04:57Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2199999125$1.66
02-14 04:57Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?BUY0.3599998699$1.66
02-14 04:57Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY0.9399996376$1.66
02-14 04:57Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.328999913$1.66
02-14 04:57Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999675$1.66
02-14 04:57Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0779999577$1.66
02-12 05:03AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.1296484767$1.66
02-12 05:03Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2199999125$1.66
02-12 05:03Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?BUY0.2$1.66
02-12 05:03Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?BUY0.3599998699$1.66
02-12 05:03Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY0.8599999586$1.66
02-12 05:03Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4189999425$1.66
02-12 05:03Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0730000001$1.66