0x3f6E22582CbA98C550198b2673e1e0d38eF1759c-1730323096341
0x3f6e22582cba98c550198b2673e1e0d38ef1759c
- Realised P&L
- $-167.78
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $52.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.65at 0.180Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
- +$-28.48at 0.240Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$-111.81at 0.608Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-14 04:57 | Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | BUY | 0.2903789185 | $1.66 |
| 02-14 04:57 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299138475 | $1.66 |
| 02-14 04:57 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999125 | $1.66 |
| 02-14 04:57 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | BUY | 0.3599998699 | $1.66 |
| 02-14 04:57 | Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | BUY | 0.9399996376 | $1.66 |
| 02-14 04:57 | Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.328999913 | $1.66 |
| 02-14 04:57 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999675 | $1.66 |
| 02-14 04:57 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999577 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 05:03 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BUY | 0.1296484767 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 05:03 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999125 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 05:03 | Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 05:03 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | BUY | 0.3599998699 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 05:03 | Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | BUY | 0.8599999586 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 05:03 | Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4189999425 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 05:03 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0730000001 | $1.66 |