PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

14gjhgjk

0x3f1f56bc214c49e9249c480cd3ec333f28fefeae

Realised P&L
$-999.00
Volume
$2.02M
Markets traded
7,787
Open portfolio
$188.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,787
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027? · No0.0790.790$10.81+$9.73
Will Brad Stuver win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? · Yes0.0210.217$10.42+$9.41
Will Kinetiq reach $0.7 before 2027? · Yes0.1640.236$6.86+$2.10
Will Miles Robinson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? · Yes0.0120.146$6.60+$6.07
USD0 depeg by December 31? · Yes0.1400.205$5.91+$1.86
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.3421.000$5.02+$3.30
Will Alec Pierce be traded? · No0.9611.000$4.91+$0.19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? · No0.6651.000$4.81+$1.61
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · No0.6991.000$4.71+$1.42
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · No0.5160.905$4.53+$1.95
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · No0.9111.000$4.49+$0.40
Will Hugo Lloris win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? · Yes0.0230.198$4.18+$3.69
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6780.954$4.15+$1.20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · No0.4800.978$3.96+$2.01
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · No0.8901.000$3.70+$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 14:02Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.007$0.28
08-16 06:51Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?SELL0.096$1.34
08-15 23:13Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.122$1.15
08-13 09:26Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?SELL0.001$0.11
08-13 09:15Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?SELL0.088$0.44
08-13 06:51Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.003$0.03
08-13 06:48Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.003$0.05
08-13 02:41Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title?SELL0.01$0.06
08-13 01:06Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title?SELL0.01$0.06
08-12 23:20Will Christopher McVey win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.01$0.04
08-12 23:18Will Christopher McVey win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.01$0.11
08-12 17:50Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title?SELL0.01$0.06
08-12 01:36Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?SELL0.27$1.78
08-07 21:05Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.003$0.02
08-07 01:44Will Hugo Cuypers win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.018$0.13