RewardsMafia
0x3eedf40fc4b73cf145b6e5e35d7c6ca645e4cb2a
- Realised P&L
- $-84.0k
- Volume
- $3.38M
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $76.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.9kat 0.577 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$4.1kat 0.170US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$3.9kat 0.810US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$2.9kat 0.090Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:16 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0717845015 | $103.58 |
| 07-02 13:27 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.7382239588 | $249.39 |
| 07-02 13:25 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.75 | $224.94 |
| 07-02 13:01 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.3108369267 | $222.02 |
| 07-02 13:01 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.1550578116 | $891.14 |
| 07-02 13:01 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.17 | $634.46 |
| 07-02 13:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $205.88 |
| 07-02 13:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $1000.00 |
| 07-01 12:50 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.45 |
| 07-01 11:13 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%? | BUY | 0.31 | $47.60 |
| 07-01 06:20 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%? | BUY | 0.8395420181 | $249.86 |
| 07-01 01:25 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? | BUY | 0.78 | $240.74 |
| 06-30 22:43 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | BUY | 0.67 | $232.64 |
| 06-30 17:48 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | BUY | 0.1356016547 | $22.29 |
| 06-30 17:45 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | BUY | 0.31 | $83.51 |