PolyBot

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Traders

0x3ec0fc182276221f8abd26900926057d89af0d41

0x3ec0fc182276221f8abd26900926057d89af0d41

Realised P&L
$-9.09
Volume
$812.71
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$37.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.855$10.18+$0.18
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.3700.375$5.07+$0.07
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October? · No0.8900.855$4.80−$0.20
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.7200.695$4.77−$0.17
Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.725$4.59−$0.41
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026? · Yes0.8700.865$4.31−$0.02
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? · No0.6600.545$4.13−$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 03:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-06 03:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-06 01:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-06 01:16Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026?SELL0.86$0.65
10-06 01:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-06 01:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-05 23:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ETSELL0.14$2.12
10-05 23:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ETBUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-05 23:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ETSELL0.49$3.01
10-05 23:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ETSELL0.49$3.43
10-05 23:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ETBUY0.3799999924$5.00
10-05 23:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.5099999949$3.00
10-05 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-05 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-05 21:56France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5SELL0.999$5.80