0x3ec0fc182276221f8abd26900926057d89af0d41
0x3ec0fc182276221f8abd26900926057d89af0d41
- Realised P&L
- $-9.09
- Volume
- $812.71
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $37.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.855 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No | 0.370 | 0.375 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October? · No | 0.890 | 0.855 | $4.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.695 | $4.77 | −$0.17 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.725 | $4.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.865 | $4.31 | −$0.02 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.545 | $4.13 | −$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.20at 0.538Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?
- +$10.29at 0.501Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
- +$4.40at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$4.40at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$4.40at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 03:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 01:16 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.65 |
| 10-06 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 23:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $2.12 |
| 10-05 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 23:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $3.01 |
| 10-05 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $3.43 |
| 10-05 23:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 23:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 21:56 | France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.80 |