PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3eB747E359E2cE291e9BD20a4Bc44765f4E8A89E-1760473574276

0x3eb747e359e2ce291e9bd20a4bc44765f4e8a89e

Realised P&L
$246.80
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8900.945$489.49+$28.49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.225$367.35$432.65
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4100.265$211.35$115.65
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.0990.055$55.82$44.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 13:41Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.4099999996$327.00
06-23 22:49Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.61$326.78
06-02 21:24Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.8899999999$461.00
06-02 21:21Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5599999999$300.00
06-02 21:18Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.0985326518$100.00
06-02 21:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999998$800.00
05-09 06:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.99$1.6k
10-16 20:44Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.5$800.00