0x3eB747E359E2cE291e9BD20a4Bc44765f4E8A89E-1760473574276
0x3eb747e359e2ce291e9bd20a4bc44765f4e8a89e
- Realised P&L
- $246.80
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $489.49 | +$28.49 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.225 | $367.35 | −$432.65 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.410 | 0.265 | $211.35 | −$115.65 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.055 | $55.82 | −$44.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$800.00at 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$26.79at 0.560Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 13:41 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4099999996 | $327.00 |
| 06-23 22:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.61 | $326.78 |
| 06-02 21:24 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $461.00 |
| 06-02 21:21 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $300.00 |
| 06-02 21:18 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.0985326518 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 21:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999998 | $800.00 |
| 05-09 06:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.6k |
| 10-16 20:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $800.00 |