Arkadimus
0x3e8ab953690ebe75660464386791c4182d4864c4
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $588.57
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $35.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.105 | $5.19 | +$0.19 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.865 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.365 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $4.79 | −$0.21 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.017 | $4.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.285 | $4.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.130 | $3.82 | −$1.18 |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.018 | $3.06 | −$1.94 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 16:06 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0294179608 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 16:04 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1011271061 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 16:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:53 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:48 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |