PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Arkadimus

0x3e8ab953690ebe75660464386791c4182d4864c4

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$588.57
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$35.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 16:27Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3599999971$5.00
10-29 16:06Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0294179608$5.00
10-29 16:04Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1011271061$5.00
10-29 16:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-29 15:53Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-29 15:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.119999999$5.00
10-29 15:50Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.019$5.00
10-29 15:48Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.1699999983$5.00