0x3e8a01ef1281bdcf24e5f27d39e64ee169e20f61
- Realised P&L
- $-800.63
- Volume
- $101.6k
- Markets traded
- 6,427
- Open portfolio
- $277.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,427
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.48at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$151.63at 0.108US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$142.44at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$133.66at 0.637Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$126.90at 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:29 | Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 09-19 22:35 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2969997 | $9.90 |
| 09-19 21:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 09-18 21:39 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.016559525 | $6.62 |
| 09-18 19:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.41 |
| 09-17 17:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.09 |
| 09-16 03:11 | Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1012021312 | $9.12 |
| 09-15 17:51 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-14 17:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.052623785 | $8.77 |
| 09-12 16:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.62 |
| 09-12 06:52 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.040885 | $8.18 |
| 09-12 05:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.70 |
| 09-09 21:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.38 |
| 09-09 18:43 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.63 |
| 09-04 20:03 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.046 | $8.21 |