PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fripon

0x3e6ebfe3c49cf08cc33199197c13fb06d5be9338

Realised P&L
$-828.31
Volume
$3.35M
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$828.75+$321.25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1400.138$343.75−$5.75
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4300.403$341.02−$23.30
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4560.435$304.50−$14.50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1500.115$230.00−$70.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4020.374$185.36−$13.66
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$185.34−$319.67
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1210.124$39.27+$0.95
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1620.162$38.25+$0.00
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.013$32.50+$22.50
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.024$28.20+$7.80
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0120.021$20.50+$8.50
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0380.021$11.45−$9.55
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1400.060$6.66−$8.75
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$6.50−$26.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 01:07Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$4.00
09-27 00:59Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.003$3.81
09-23 12:05Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5887901639$35.92
09-14 19:15Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.35$3.50
09-09 15:49Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0073846154$0.96
09-09 15:45Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.037$0.04
08-27 05:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.61$65.88
08-24 03:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.108$6.59
08-22 15:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.62$62.62
08-14 18:15Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.23$99.49
08-12 19:19Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.233$111.01
08-09 17:39Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.63$69.30
07-30 23:09Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?BUY0.31$1.55
07-30 07:04Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?BUY0.21$2.10
07-29 22:48Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?BUY0.15$0.84