Fripon
0x3e6ebfe3c49cf08cc33199197c13fb06d5be9338
- Realised P&L
- $-422.10
- Volume
- $3.26M
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$819.20at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$472.06at 0.193Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
- +$120.21at 0.908Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$72.48at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$57.47at 0.870Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:15 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-09 15:49 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0073846154 | $0.96 |
| 09-09 15:45 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.04 |
| 08-27 05:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.61 | $65.88 |
| 08-24 03:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.108 | $6.59 |
| 08-22 15:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.62 | $62.62 |
| 08-14 18:15 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.23 | $99.49 |
| 08-12 19:19 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.233 | $111.01 |
| 08-09 17:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.63 | $69.30 |
| 07-30 23:09 | Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 07-30 07:04 | Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 07-29 22:48 | Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.84 |
| 07-24 07:39 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.138 | $14.08 |
| 07-19 15:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.592 | $1.2k |
| 07-07 17:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0489195006 | $56.73 |