JesseRF
0x3e61842257376369a30b1fb180ef3a92736dca66
- Realised P&L
- $-223.09
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $119.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.460 | $66.80 | −$2.13 |
| SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.481 | 0.175 | $20.72 | −$36.27 |
| SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.825 | $10.74 | +$5.74 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.605 | 0.525 | $8.67 | −$1.33 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.411 | 0.570 | $6.01 | +$1.68 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.600 | 0.430 | $3.96 | −$1.57 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.546 | 0.540 | $1.69 | −$0.02 |
| Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.030 | $0.52 | −$4.05 |
| SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.180 | $0.44 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$-69.97at 0.223Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-13 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |