PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3e59f2C319B3a0D9574FB94FB0045aEa801Db2be-1768770696159

0x3e59f2c319b3a0d9574fb94fb0045aea801db2be

Realised P&L
$-40.8k
Volume
$1.37M
Markets traded
895
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded895
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.345$3.0k−$129.16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5260.580$2.2k+$202.06
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? · Yes0.3000.170$510.47−$389.53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No0.0490.054$329.35+$29.35
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0180.021$304.66+$54.68
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.090$257.86−$241.85
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0550.048$173.05−$26.95
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0600.075$125.00+$25.00
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31? · Yes0.1390.167$119.40+$19.40
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.1000.065$104.00−$56.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No0.0800.059$73.13−$26.88
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0190.023$60.53+$10.53
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.2790.285$51.05+$1.05
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.001$50.00−$50.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1900.045$47.37−$152.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 22:01Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.0227008787$50.00
10-10 21:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.0341941131$25.00
10-10 21:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.0499368334$19.29
10-10 21:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.26$99.93
10-10 21:26Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1960212355$200.00
10-10 21:26Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1624609455$299.72
10-10 21:21US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.0491876592$300.00
10-07 19:48Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.2997239209$900.00
10-07 18:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-07 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-07 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-07 18:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSELL0.5$75.47
10-07 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.3369672942$100.00
10-07 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.3256615367$100.00
10-07 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.01$25.00