PolyBot

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Traders

0x3e59f2C319B3a0D9574FB94FB0045aEa801Db2be-1768770696159

0x3e59f2c319b3a0d9574fb94fb0045aea801db2be

Realised P&L
$-38.0k
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
835
Open portfolio
$519.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded835
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1190.075$119.21$70.79
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$68.42$131.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? · Yes0.0400.010$25.00$75.00
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0280.064$4.53+$2.53
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0200.017$0.82$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.2430.000$0.00$198.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.3370.000$0.00$197.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.3630.000$0.00$32.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.4790.000$0.00$9.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down0.2470.000$0.00$148.72
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$399.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up0.3380.000$0.00$197.59
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00$110.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.2420.000$0.00$99.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 10:33Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1195344448$190.00
08-01 20:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?BUY0.04$100.00
07-29 13:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.036747117$100.00
07-29 13:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?SELL0.9648357872$98.30
07-26 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.1606264759$25.00
07-26 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.169999995$25.00
07-26 22:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.1465765221$25.00
07-26 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.2899999981$100.00
07-26 08:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.912$92.91
07-24 10:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026?BUY0.006$1.20
07-24 10:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026?BUY0.005$1.02
07-24 10:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?BUY0.06$20.28
07-24 10:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?BUY0.0484118275$200.00
07-23 20:05Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0387614382$100.00
07-23 20:05Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.109999999$100.00