0x3e59f2C319B3a0D9574FB94FB0045aEa801Db2be-1768770696159
0x3e59f2c319b3a0d9574fb94fb0045aea801db2be
- Realised P&L
- $-38.0k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 835
- Open portfolio
- $519.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded835
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.261Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$2.2kat 0.155Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.163Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.282Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.076Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:33 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1195344448 | $190.00 |
| 08-01 20:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 13:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.036747117 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 13:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.9648357872 | $98.30 |
| 07-26 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1606264759 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.169999995 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1465765221 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 08:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.912 | $92.91 |
| 07-24 10:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 07-24 10:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.02 |
| 07-24 10:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $20.28 |
| 07-24 10:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.0484118275 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 20:05 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0387614382 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 20:05 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |