0x3e59f2C319B3a0D9574FB94FB0045aEa801Db2be-1768770696159
0x3e59f2c319b3a0d9574fb94fb0045aea801db2be
- Realised P&L
- $-40.8k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 895
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded895
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$2.2kat 0.155Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.164Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.115Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.177Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:01 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.0227008787 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0341941131 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0499368334 | $19.29 |
| 10-10 21:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $99.93 |
| 10-10 21:26 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1960212355 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 21:26 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1624609455 | $299.72 |
| 10-10 21:21 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.0491876592 | $300.00 |
| 10-07 19:48 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.2997239209 | $900.00 |
| 10-07 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 18:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $75.47 |
| 10-07 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3369672942 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3256615367 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $25.00 |