QMG-ALPHAC
0x3e588611bf73d3eb18d6ecceb59ab7b1fb07070f
- Realised P&L
- $-46.93
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.32at 0.940Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$17.21at 0.277Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$12.00at 0.997Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$5.04at 0.834Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.49at 0.570Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:31 | Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $7.22 |
| 11-01 14:31 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099999988 | $7.36 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.31 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.77 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.31 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.908999996 | $6.32 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999998574 | $5.05 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1699999993 | $15.52 |
| 11-01 14:31 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999968 | $10.79 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999946 | $11.59 |
| 11-01 14:31 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5299999854 | $15.21 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.269999999 | $15.87 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.810999996 | $8.35 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.8399999983 | $19.91 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.937999999 | $20.93 |