PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Melqui

0x3e0a8847c74b98a0d865e24ae399604ddf67b9cc

Realised P&L
$-90.1k
Volume
$6.07M
Markets traded
730
Open portfolio
$16.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded730
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8320.565$3.6k$1.7k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8780.915$2.3k+$90.99
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.8810.555$1.5k$869.75
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No0.9260.959$1.4k+$45.22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7610.925$1.1k+$202.67
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.8510.905$1.1k+$62.29
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8470.935$783.76+$73.75
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9120.946$754.58+$27.01
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No0.7120.918$580.55+$130.34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · No0.8720.970$484.01+$48.68
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Nothing0.8990.919$452.60+$10.23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No0.9200.976$438.98+$24.98
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8400.908$363.40+$27.40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.655$327.50+$127.50
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.964$320.84+$37.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 18:51Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?SELL0.959$8.54
07-19 21:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.061$61.00
07-15 15:57Will England win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.36$1.0k
07-14 18:58Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.3299999997$510.00
07-10 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.21116904$527.92
07-10 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.214663379$63.77
07-10 21:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.206$1.6k
07-07 22:32Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0180284075$360.57
07-07 22:20Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0256084243$82.07
07-07 21:59Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0212446148$907.87
07-07 21:58Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.021498178$1.2k
07-07 21:56Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.026$235.34
07-07 20:06Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY0.3499999997$500.00
07-07 00:26Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.013$134.11
07-06 01:58Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.28$428.40