PolyBot

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Traders

sk33625

0x3d64c3761d86ebfa99eceb4285d427caf3d98501

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$731.5k
Markets traded
6,157
Open portfolio
$35.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,157
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.9890.990$20.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5? · No0.9481.000$5.27+$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5? · Yes0.9701.000$5.15+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5? · Yes0.9891.000$5.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5? · No0.9600.001$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5? · Yes0.9600.001$0.00−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 11? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7? · No0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$8.81
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$1.08
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 20? · No0.9800.000$0.00−$4.90
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19? · No0.9870.000$0.00−$4.93
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8? · No0.9400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? · Yes0.9320.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 14? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 08:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.96$3.60
10-05 07:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5?SELL0.999$3.64
10-05 07:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5?BUY0.989$3.60
10-05 07:13Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?BUY0.988999999$5.00
10-05 07:12Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-05 07:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5?BUY0.948$5.00
10-05 07:08Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?BUY0.96$5.00
10-05 07:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?SELL0.999$6.31
10-05 07:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.999$17.29
10-05 02:21Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?BUY0.948999997$6.00
10-05 00:12Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?SELL0.999$5.32
10-04 23:22Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9890673063$20.00
10-04 23:19Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.997$20.64
10-04 22:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.9819999994$17.00
10-04 22:56Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.978$16.10