sk33625
0x3d64c3761d86ebfa99eceb4285d427caf3d98501
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $731.5k
- Markets traded
- 6,157
- Open portfolio
- $35.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,157
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.517Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?
- +$2.8kat 0.252Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?
- +$2.7kat 0.177Will US gain 250k-300k jobs in February?
- +$2.0kat 0.392Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?
- +$675.72at 0.800Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.60 |
| 10-05 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.64 |
| 10-05 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $3.60 |
| 10-05 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.948 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.31 |
| 10-05 07:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.29 |
| 10-05 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.948999997 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 00:12 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.32 |
| 10-04 23:22 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9890673063 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 23:19 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $20.64 |
| 10-04 22:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.9819999994 | $17.00 |
| 10-04 22:56 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.978 | $16.10 |