sergak0
0x3d395a8535476be6fdf2bd2aae381c47573980ff
- Realised P&L
- $-284.31
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $182.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.14at 0.547Will England win on 2026-07-11?
- +$36.88at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$13.45at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$12.22at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$10.10at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999961 | $9.34 |
| 10-10 19:00 | Will Trump say "Korea" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.3899999951 | $14.25 |
| 10-10 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999962 | $9.34 |
| 10-10 06:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999971 | $9.34 |
| 10-10 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $9.34 |
| 10-10 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999888 | $9.81 |
| 10-10 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $1.77 |
| 10-10 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.36 |
| 10-10 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $6.04 |
| 10-10 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999663 | $1.92 |
| 10-10 01:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999888 | $9.65 |
| 10-10 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 10-10 01:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999821 | $4.39 |
| 10-10 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999993 | $9.79 |
| 10-10 01:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.92 |