Wagmi420
0x3d1487b9a384635dcd7e438eb183e95351b5ee01
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $2.60M
- Markets traded
- 766
- Open portfolio
- $773.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded766
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.9kat 0.718Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians
- +$11.0kat 0.500Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$10.1kat 0.500Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings
- +$9.6kat 0.500Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals
- +$8.9kat 0.652Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 20:04 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939833333 | $894.58 |
| 08-18 20:02 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.983 | $39.32 |
| 08-15 15:01 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0142287729 | $32.64 |
| 08-15 15:01 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.024 | $51.64 |
| 08-15 15:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9936035521 | $1000.00 |
| 07-19 22:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0574999982 | $30.00 |
| 07-18 23:00 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.0015034568 | $2.32 |
| 07-18 22:54 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.26 |
| 07-18 22:33 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.017580598 | $11.18 |
| 07-15 21:09 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6612857896 | $727.72 |
| 07-15 20:30 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.8358058518 | $1000.00 |
| 07-15 19:50 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.4943218279 | $1.9k |
| 07-15 19:21 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $150.00 |
| 07-15 19:19 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5874999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-15 19:16 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.546 | $272.99 |