PolyBot

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Traders

Wagmi420

0x3d1487b9a384635dcd7e438eb183e95351b5ee01

Realised P&L
$-11.1k
Volume
$2.60M
Markets traded
766
Open portfolio
$773.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded766
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7040.745$381.44+$21.04
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2110.135$65.48$36.93
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7960.260$64.46$132.93
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · No0.9400.965$57.81+$1.50
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3570.145$43.50$63.50
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · Yes0.0500.040$39.50$10.50
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1110.047$33.80$46.17
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.028$27.50$32.50
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9620.998$19.95+$0.71
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0740.038$19.25$17.75
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0320.004$8.00$56.00
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.065$6.50$10.50
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.067$4.35$13.31
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0530.001$2.00$211.86
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$19.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 20:04Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9939833333$894.58
08-18 20:02Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.983$39.32
08-15 15:01Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.0142287729$32.64
08-15 15:01Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.024$51.64
08-15 15:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.9936035521$1000.00
07-19 22:00Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0574999982$30.00
07-18 23:00Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.0015034568$2.32
07-18 22:54Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.006$9.26
07-18 22:33Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?BUY0.017580598$11.18
07-15 21:09Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6612857896$727.72
07-15 20:30England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.8358058518$1000.00
07-15 19:50US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.4943218279$1.9k
07-15 19:21Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3299999989$150.00
07-15 19:19England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.5874999994$300.00
07-15 19:16Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.546$272.99