tokenT21
0x3d118025e38c9a6ee670432ea33a6bcf9f9e5805
- Realised P&L
- $-51.90
- Volume
- $895.04
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $89.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.94at 0.492Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$0.58at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$0.58at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$-0.58at 0.260Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$-0.83at 0.240Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 20:35 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2289999648 | $3.75 |
| 08-17 20:35 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4749999775 | $4.76 |
| 08-17 20:33 | Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 20:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 20:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 20:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.29 | $9.67 |
| 08-17 20:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 20:25 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8299999701 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.62 |
| 08-17 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.879999831 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.62 |
| 08-17 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 20:05 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 08-17 19:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.085 | $1.70 |
| 08-17 19:57 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.093 | $1.86 |