0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269
0x3cff61c9a93c80b02081c7859853e701bbf76fbd
- Realised P&L
- $-17.70
- Volume
- $53.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,062
- Open portfolio
- $55.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,062
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59at 0.985Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$4.51at 0.963Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$3.06at 0.965Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$2.92at 0.986Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.73at 0.961Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 19:10 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 06-22 03:26 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.965 | $4.83 |
| 06-21 14:50 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 06-19 01:02 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.931 | $4.66 |
| 06-18 01:09 | Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.935 | $4.68 |
| 06-17 18:52 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 06-17 17:20 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 06-17 13:53 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 06-17 04:11 | Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.03 |
| 06-17 04:11 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.916 | $1.04 |
| 06-17 04:11 | Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.984 | $1.19 |
| 06-17 04:11 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.955 | $1.20 |
| 06-17 04:11 | Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $1.36 |
| 06-17 04:11 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.941 | $1.72 |
| 06-17 04:11 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.91 |