PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

masch77

0x3cc46df7efcad883844b21f862263e04040fcb44

Realised P&L
$-143.48
Volume
$22.2k
Markets traded
380
Open portfolio
$100.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded380
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6520.750$60.37+$7.87
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.700$16.67+$11.67
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2570.605$11.75+$6.75
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.610$2.44+$1.44
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.750$1.88+$0.88
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6100.875$1.43+$0.43
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8600.967$1.12+$0.12
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.941$1.07+$0.07
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9500.983$1.03+$0.03
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9740.982$1.01+$0.01
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.100$0.97$0.03
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.016$0.26$3.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 21:24Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.696586479$2.00
07-15 21:23Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.102611854$1.00
07-15 21:22Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.209999974$5.00
07-15 21:22Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3693965905$3.00
07-15 21:22Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.599999976$5.00
07-15 21:19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
07-15 21:19Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
07-15 21:19Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2574257166$5.00
07-15 21:19Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.549999956$5.00
07-15 20:53Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3589999695$5.00
07-15 20:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.104$3.03
07-14 20:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$0.57
07-14 19:25Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.254$2.88
07-04 21:03Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$5.00
07-04 00:06Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0689999387$1.00