PolyBot

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Traders

Michael5289

0x3c760e45728e0cb4b68c52980a070314b95fd4ee

Realised P&L
$37.6k
Volume
$1.99M
Markets traded
2,401
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,401
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:42Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September?BUY0.98$49.00
09-17 18:39Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September?BUY0.97$5.52
09-17 18:39Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September?BUY0.96$24.00
09-16 00:47Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 15?BUY0.99$11.88
09-16 00:47Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 15?BUY0.98$5.88
09-15 20:38Will Scott Bessent give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.999$5.99
09-14 23:53Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?BUY0.994$30.23
09-14 23:51Will Taylor Rogers give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.993$89.37
09-14 23:50Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.93$13.29
09-14 23:46Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.97$38.80
09-14 23:44Will Taylor Rogers give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.993$49.65
09-14 23:43Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.97$18.38
09-14 23:43Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?BUY0.96$19.20
09-14 21:46Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?BUY0.997$49.85
09-14 20:31Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 11 and September 15, 2026?BUY0.997$49.85