0x3c5b03F96182A3FD51309D79fC2d4836044F2008-1782415903589
0x3c5b03f96182a3fd51309d79fc2d4836044f2008
- Realised P&L
- $-10.85
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $38.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.23at 0.196Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.89at 0.564Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$3.32at 0.386Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 3?
- +$3.23at 0.242Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 14?
- +$3.17at 0.242Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 21:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9769998601 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 12:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.951999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 12:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.8349999958 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.9349999579 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 16:20 | Bitcoin above 78,800 on September 14, 1PM ET? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.14 |
| 09-14 16:19 | Bitcoin above 78,800 on September 14, 1PM ET? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 11:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.9789999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.9799999647 | $5.00 |