PolyBot

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Traders

Hermitsupreme

0x3c5adffcb68ba8cc3fa0f138d9d9a9ae76a8022d

Realised P&L
$-377.22
Volume
$20.4k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$112.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 14:36Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.593$3.75
09-11 05:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.41$2.25
09-08 03:19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.56$3.08
09-03 22:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.564$3.73
08-27 18:39Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 27?BUY0.936$6.49
08-27 07:52Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.789$5.00
07-26 09:16Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.21$3.62
07-26 01:50Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$2.35
07-23 08:55Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.42$3.46
07-22 15:10Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.77$5.04
07-21 11:57Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$5.03
07-21 06:52Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.41$3.60
07-21 05:42Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.199$5.01
07-21 00:21Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.121$3.97
07-21 00:21Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.84$4.96