Hermitsupreme
0x3c5adffcb68ba8cc3fa0f138d9d9a9ae76a8022d
- Realised P&L
- $-377.22
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $112.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.79at 0.113Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?
- +$84.84at 0.293Warriors vs. Jazz
- +$69.95at 0.221Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 9?
- +$65.29at 0.385Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 10?
- +$50.97at 0.054LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:36 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.593 | $3.75 |
| 09-11 05:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.25 |
| 09-08 03:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.08 |
| 09-03 22:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.564 | $3.73 |
| 08-27 18:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.936 | $6.49 |
| 08-27 07:52 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.789 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 09:16 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.62 |
| 07-26 01:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.35 |
| 07-23 08:55 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.46 |
| 07-22 15:10 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $5.04 |
| 07-21 11:57 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.03 |
| 07-21 06:52 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.60 |
| 07-21 05:42 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.199 | $5.01 |
| 07-21 00:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.121 | $3.97 |
| 07-21 00:21 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.96 |