Evpp
0x3bc660f9987e233725f1f695816d66abfe1da165
- Realised P&L
- $-10.29
- Volume
- $293.12
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $18.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.784 | $10.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.083 | $4.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.720 | $1.56 | −$0.03 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.075 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.19at 0.062Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.04at 0.681Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$-10.48at 0.490Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $2.27 |
| 09-22 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.24 |
| 09-22 14:04 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1819999833 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:03 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1189999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 13:44 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.067 | $5.58 |
| 09-22 13:35 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7349999815 | $1.59 |
| 09-22 13:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1229999894 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0750592555 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:33 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 12:24 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 09-22 12:03 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 12:01 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |