0x3B9CF540874DeaC2FCCF33d655B89A055e8Cd282-1761336826735
0x3b9cf540874deac2fccf33d655b89a055e8cd282
- Realised P&L
- $445.15
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $867.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.80at 0.742Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
- +$75.29at 0.490US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$65.31at 0.881Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$51.15at 0.610U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$48.00at 0.300Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:46 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $50.70 |
| 11-01 16:55 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $33.33 |
| 10-28 22:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999914 | $47.83 |
| 10-28 21:53 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $47.29 |
| 10-15 19:31 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 10-15 19:28 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 19:25 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999985 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 19:25 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.7669999911 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 19:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.959 | $215.44 |
| 10-15 19:18 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $30.00 |
| 10-15 19:17 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999995 | $60.00 |
| 10-15 19:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 19:16 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 19:16 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $60.00 |
| 10-15 19:16 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7789999985 | $60.00 |