rengisgood
0x3b71f7d428b3b0c71341faf37392958b80d3baee
- Realised P&L
- $-244.05
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $456.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.70at 0.150Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$19.76at 0.754Yoon reinstated as President before July?
- +$14.48at 0.090Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.53at 0.440Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
- +$8.80at 0.560Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 11:44 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.993 | $36.85 |
| 05-15 11:43 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | BUY | 0.954 | $17.21 |
| 05-15 11:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.974 | $32.14 |
| 05-15 11:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.48 |
| 05-15 11:40 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $9.73 |
| 03-24 18:41 | X banned in U.K. by March 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 03-24 18:39 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.92 |
| 03-24 18:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $35.16 |
| 03-24 18:33 | Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $12.55 |
| 03-24 18:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $26.88 |
| 03-24 18:31 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 03-24 18:31 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.31 |
| 03-24 18:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 02-25 13:09 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.19 |
| 02-25 13:07 | Iran strike on US military by February 28? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.80 |