PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rengisgood

0x3b71f7d428b3b0c71341faf37392958b80d3baee

Realised P&L
$-266.28
Volume
$24.7k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$480.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.2001.000$185.00+$148.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8400.972$66.06+$8.94
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2400.948$47.38+$35.38
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.989$43.49+$1.12
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.8700.962$34.63+$3.31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9801.000$26.00+$0.52
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9490.984$24.60+$0.88
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9400.977$21.48+$0.80
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? · No0.9541.000$18.04+$0.83
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.4000.415$12.45+$0.45
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.019$0.93−$5.26
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$61.60
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$3.15
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00−$12.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 11:44Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?BUY0.993$36.85
05-15 11:43Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?BUY0.954$17.21
05-15 11:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.974$32.14
05-15 11:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.98$25.48
05-15 11:40Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$9.73
03-24 18:41X banned in U.K. by March 31?BUY0.995$19.90
03-24 18:39Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.997$26.92
03-24 18:39Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.986$35.16
03-24 18:33Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?BUY0.991$12.55
03-24 18:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.84$26.88
03-24 18:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.965$19.30
03-24 18:31Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.009$2.31
03-24 18:25Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.24$12.00
02-25 13:09Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.13$6.19
02-25 13:07Iran strike on US military by February 28?BUY0.94$18.80