Mr.Eggplant
0x3b69beea35d20e687db2f7752c5dde36d1d90cde
- Realised P&L
- $28.5k
- Volume
- $3.81M
- Markets traded
- 610
- Open portfolio
- $32.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded610
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.083US military action against Iran by Saturday?
- +$3.2kat 0.016Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
- +$2.7kat 0.289US military action against Iran by Sunday?
- +$2.6kat 0.663US-China trade deal before June?
- +$2.5kat 0.036US military action against Iran by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 20:13 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.7k |
| 06-13 21:11 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $86.47 |
| 06-13 21:10 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $80.26 |
| 06-13 20:16 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.145 | $83.59 |
| 05-28 17:31 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.82 |
| 05-28 11:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $88.88 |
| 05-28 10:13 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.07 |
| 05-27 21:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $53.28 |
| 05-27 13:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $8.56 |
| 05-27 13:22 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.77 |
| 05-26 18:33 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.93 |
| 05-26 17:47 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.013 | $57.77 |
| 05-26 16:39 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.39 |
| 05-26 12:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $29.97 |
| 05-26 12:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $8.45 |