Powershard
0x3b0059ab7071533df85859aebd30e9fe623743ec
- Realised P&L
- $-35.89
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 390
- Open portfolio
- $11.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded390
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.28at 0.140Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$7.39at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$7.24at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$7.07at 0.468Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?
- +$6.63at 0.340Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 21:47 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-25 10:16 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 10:13 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0163270658 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 10:13 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.0144787503 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 21:14 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.30 |
| 08-23 07:56 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 08-18 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.10 |
| 08-18 18:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $0.68 |
| 08-18 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $1.26 |
| 08-18 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |