PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Powershard

0x3b0059ab7071533df85859aebd30e9fe623743ec

Realised P&L
$-35.89
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
390
Open portfolio
$11.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded390
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · No0.5600.860$3.07+$1.07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? · Yes0.0160.174$2.01+$1.82
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3500.125$1.79$3.21
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0600.021$1.76$3.28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0830.182$1.00+$0.54
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0000.013$0.65+$0.65
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2100.115$0.55$0.45
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.1600.065$0.41$0.59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2100.065$0.31$0.69
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0500.040$0.24$0.06
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$1.00
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 21:47Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.002$0.02
08-25 10:16Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-25 10:13Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?BUY0.0163270658$1.00
08-25 10:13Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?BUY0.0144787503$1.00
08-24 21:14Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.026$1.30
08-23 07:56Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.26$1.56
08-18 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSELL0.05$0.10
08-18 18:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.52$1.00
08-18 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-18 18:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-18 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.36$0.68
08-18 18:25Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.66$1.00
08-18 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-18 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.93$1.26
08-18 18:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.7299998102$1.00